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KfW Research - Dossier
Venture CapitalFinancing with venture capital creates a key requirement for start-ups to be able to open up markets and generate growth with new technologies and innovative business models. The venture capital market therefore plays an important role in the competitiveness of the economy. The German venture capital ecosystem has continued to mature in recent years but there is still a need to catch up in an international comparison. KfW Research analyses the German venture capital ecosystem and, in addition to topic-related publications, offers a quarterly barometer on business sentiment among German investors and a dashboard on the development of the German venture capital market.
Contrary to the Europe-wide heatwave, the business climate in the German venture capital market (VC market) cooled in the spring quarter. The sentiment indicator fell by 10.2 points to -35.8 points in the second quarter of 2026 and thus remains well below its long-term average. The cooling is due to a poorer assessment of the current business situation by early-stage investors, while business expectations once again hardly changed. The expectation assessment, which is only slightly better than the assessment of the current situation, suggests that early-stage investors do not expect any significant improvement in the subdued sentiment over the next six months.
Investor sentiment in the German private equity market deteriorated in the spring quarter. The business climate indicator for the segment of the private equity market focused on investments in established companies fell by 17.4 points to -32.2 points in the second quarter of 2026. Investor sentiment has now been in negative territory for four and a half years, with only sporadic forays towards its long-term average.
The recovery in the German VC market gained further momentum in the third quarter. At around EUR 4.5 billion, deal volume was more than one third higher than in the already strong previous quarter. Since the start of the year, investments have totalled around EUR 9.5 billion. This already exceeds the volume recorded in each of the full years 2023 to 2025 (just over EUR 7 billion in each case).
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