KfW Research - Dossier
Venture CapitalFinancing with venture capital creates a key requirement for start-ups to be able to open up markets and generate growth with new technologies and innovative business models. The venture capital market therefore plays an important role in the competitiveness of the economy. The German venture capital ecosystem has continued to mature in recent years but there is still a need to catch up in an international comparison. KfW Research analyses the German venture capital ecosystem and, in addition to topic-related publications, offers a quarterly barometer on business sentiment among German investors and a dashboard on the development of the German venture capital market.
After the slump in sentiment at the end of 2025, the business climate on the German venture capital market has stabilised again at the beginning of 2026. The sentiment indicator rose slightly in the first quarter of 2026, up 6.2 points to -25.9 points. Despite this modest increase, the VC business climate therefore remains subdued and is well below its long-term average. The slight rise is due to an improved assessment of the current business situation by early-stage investors, while business expectations have scarcely changed. The somewhat more pessimistic assessment of expectations compared with the current situation suggests that early-stage investors are not anticipating any significant improvement over the next six months either.
Investor sentiment in the German private equity market has changed little since the end of the previous year. The business climate indicator for the segment of the equity finance market that focuses on investments in established companies rose slightly in the first quarter of 2026, up 1.4 points to -15.1 points. The indicator for the current business situation edged down slightly by 3.6 points to -14.7 points, while the indicator for business expectations increased by 6.4 points to -15.5 points.
In a turbulent world, the German VC market has made a calm start to 2026. In the first quarter of 2026, German start-ups raised around EUR 1.7 billion in total – essentially a sideways movement compared with Q1 of the previous year (+6%).
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